Saturday, March 31, 2012

Machine Translation - How it Works, What Users Expect, and What They Get

Machine translation (MT) systems are now ubiquitous. This ubiquity is due to a combination of increased need for translation in today's global marketplace, and an exponential growth in computing power that has made such systems viable. And under the right circumstances, MT systems are a powerful tool. They offer low-quality translations in situations where low-quality translation is better than no translation at all, or where a rough translation of a large document delivered in seconds or minutes is more useful than a good translation delivered in three weeks' time.

Unfortunately, despite the widespread accessibility of MT, it is clear that the purpose and limitations of such systems are frequently misunderstood, and their capability widely overestimated. In this article, I want to give a brief overview of how MT systems work and thus how they can be put to best use. Then, I'll present some data on how Internet-based MT is being used right now, and show that there is a chasm between the intended and actual use of such systems, and that users still need educating on how to use MT systems effectively.

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How machine translation works

Machine Translation - How it Works, What Users Expect, and What They Get

You might have expected that a computer translation program would use grammatical rules of the languages in question, combining them with some kind of in-memory "dictionary" to produce the resulting translation. And indeed, that's essentially how some earlier systems worked. But most modern MT systems actually take a statistical approach that is quite "linguistically blind". Essentially, the system is trained on a corpus of example translations. The result is a statistical model that incorporates information such as:

- "when the words (a, b, c) occur in succession in a sentence, there is an X% chance that the words (d, e, f) will occur in succession in the translation" (N.B. there don't have to be the same number of words in each pair);
- "given two successive words (a, b) in the target language, if word (a) ends in -X, there is an X% chance that word (b) will end in -Y".

Given a huge body of such observations, the system can then translate a sentence by considering various candidate translations-- made by stringing words together almost at random (in reality, via some 'naive selection' process)-- and choosing the statistically most likely option.

On hearing this high-level description of how MT works, most people are surprised that such a "linguistically blind" approach works at all. What's even more surprising is that it typically works better than rule-based systems. This is partly because relying on grammatical analysis itself introduces errors into the equation (automated analysis is not completely accurate, and humans don't always agree on how to analyse a sentence). And training a system on "bare text" allows you to base a system on far more data than would otherwise be possible: corpora of grammatically analysed texts are small and few and far between; pages of "bare text" are available in their trillions.

However, what this approach does mean is that the quality of translations is very dependent on how well elements of the source text are represented in the data originally used to train the system. If you accidentally type he will returned or vous avez demander (instead of he will return or vous avez demandé), the system will be hampered by the fact that sequences such as will returned are unlikely to have occurred many times in the training corpus (or worse, may have occurred with a completely different meaning, as in they needed his will returned to the solicitor). And since the system has little notion of grammar (to work out, for example, that returned is a form of return, and "the infinitive is likely after he will"), it in effect has little to go on.

Similarly, you may ask the system to translate a sentence that is perfectly grammatical and common in everyday use, but which includes features that happen not to have been common in the training corpus. MT systems are typically trained on the types of text for which human translations are readily available, such as technical or business documents, or transcripts of meetings of multilingual parliaments and conferences. This gives MT systems a natural bias towards certain types of formal or technical text. And even if everyday vocabulary is still covered by the training corpus, the grammar of everyday speech (such as using tú instead of usted in Spanish, or using the present tense instead of the future tense in various languages) may not.

MT systems in practice

Researches and developers of computer translation systems have always been aware that one of the biggest dangers is public misperception of their purpose and limitations. Somers (2003)[1], observing the use of MT on the web and in chat rooms, comments that: "This increased visibility of MT has had a number of side effets. [...] There is certainly a need to educate the general public about the low quality of raw MT, and, importantly, why the quality is so low." Observing MT in use in 2009, there's sadly little evidence that users' awareness of these issues has improved.

As an illustration, I'll present a small sample of data from a Spanish-English MT service that I make available at the Español-Inglés web site. The service works by taking the user's input, applying some "cleanup" processes (such as correcting some common orthographical errors and decoding common instances of "SMS-speak"), and then looking for translations in (a) a bank of examples from the site's Spanish-English dictionary, and (b) a MT engine. Currently, Google Translate is used for the MT engine, although a custom engine may be used in the future. The figures I present here are from an analysis of 549 Spanish-English queries presented to the system from machines in Mexico[2]-- in other words, we assume that most users are translating from their native language.

First, what are people using the MT system for? For each query, I attempted a "best guess" at the user's purpose for translating the query. In many cases, the purpose is quite obvious; in a few cases, there is clearly ambiguity. With that caveat, I judge that in about 88% of cases, the intended use is fairly clear-cut, and categorise these uses as follows:

Looking up a single word or term: 38% Translating a formal text: 23% Internet chat session: 18% Homework: 9%

A surprising (if not alarming!) observation is that in such a large proportion of cases, users are using the translator to look up a single word or term. In fact, 30% of queries consisted of a single word. The finding is a little surprising given that the site in question also has a Spanish-English dictionary, and suggests that users confuse the purpose of dictionaries and translators. Although not represented in the raw figures, there were clearly some cases of consecutive searches where it appeared that a user was deliberately splitting up a sentence or phrase that would have probably been better translated if left together. Perhaps as a consequence of student over-drilling on dictionary usage, we see, for example, a query for cuarto para ("quarter to") followed immediately by a query for a number. There is clearly a need to educate students and users in general on the difference between the electronic dictionary and the machine translator[3]: in particular, that a dictionary will guide the user to choosing the appropriate translation given the context, but requires single-word or single-phrase lookups, whereas a translator generally works best on whole sentences and given a single word or term, will simply report the statistically most common translation.

I estimate that in less than a quarter of cases, users are using the MT system for its "trained-for" purpose of translating or gisting a formal text (and are entering an entire sentence, or at least partial sentence rather than an isolated noun phrase). Of course, it's impossible to know whether any of these translations were then intended for publication without further proof, which definitely isn't the purpose of the system.

The use for translating formal texts is now almost rivalled by the use to translate informal on-line chat sessions-- a context for which MT systems are typically not trained. The on-line chat context poses particular problems for MT systems, since features such as non-standard spelling, lack of punctuation and presence of colloquialisms not found in other written contexts are common. For chat sessions to be translated effectively would probably require a dedicated system trained on a more suitable (and possibly custom-built) corpus.

It's not too surprising that students are using MT systems to do their homework. But it's interesting to note to what extent and how. In fact, use for homework incudes a mixture of "fair use" (understanding an exercise) with an attempt to "get the computer to do their homework" (with predictably dire results in some cases). Queries categorised as homework include sentences which are obviously instructions to exercises, plus certain sentences explaining trivial generalities that would be uncommon in a text or conversation, but which are typical in beginners' homework exercises.

Whatever the use, an issue for system users and designers alike is the frequency of errors in the source text which are liable to hamper the translation. In fact, over 40% of queries contained such errors, with some queries containing several. The most common errors were the following (queries for single words and terms were excluded in calculating these figures):
Missing accents: 14% of queries Missing punctuation: 13% Other orthographical error: 8% Grammatically incomplete sentence: 8%

Bearing in mind that in the majority of cases, users where translating from their native language, users appear to underestimate the importance of using standard orthography to give the best chance of a good translation. More subtly, users do not always understand that the translation of one word can depend on another, and that the translator's job is more difficult if grammatical constituents are incomplete, so that queries such as hoy es día de are not uncommon. Such queries hamper translation because the chance of a sentence in the training corpus with, say, a "dangling" preposition like this will be slim.

Lessons to be learnt...?

At present, there's still a mismatch between the performance of MT systems and the expectations of users. I see responsibility for closing this gap as lying in the hands both of developers and of users and educators. Users need to think more about making their source sentences "MT-friendly" and learn how to assess the output of MT systems. Language courses need to address these issues: learning to use computer translation tools effectively needs to be seen as a relevant part of learning to use a language. And developers, including myself, need to think about how we can make the tools we offer better suited to language users' needs.

Notes

[1] Somers (2003), "Machine Translation: the Latest Developments" in The Oxford Handbook of Computational Linguistics, OUP.
[2] This odd number is simply because queries matching the selection criteria were captured with random probability within a fixed time frame. It should be noted that the system for deducing a machine's country from its IP address is not completely accurate.
[3] If the user enters a single word into the system in question, a message is displayed beneath the translation suggesting that the user would get a better result by using the site's dictionary.

Machine Translation - How it Works, What Users Expect, and What They Get

The ESPANOL-INGLES web site offers various resources for English-speaking learners of Spanish and vice versa, including a Spanish dictionary, Spanish phrases section with audio recordings, plus grammar information and on-line word games.

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Thursday, March 29, 2012

How Does The Federal Reserve Affect Interest Rates?

I would argue that the most powerful man in the world is not the President of the United States but rather the Chairman of the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke. He is the modern day EF Hutton...when he speaks, everyone listens - even the President.

The Federal Reserve was founded by Congress in 1913 as the central bank of the U.S. The function of the Fed is to conduct the nation's monetary policy and regulate our banking institutions. Within the Fed is the Federal Open Market Committee. This committee consists of 12 members which includes seven members of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The FOMC meets in person eight times per year and may meet by phone on other occasion. When major economic events occur, the FOMC may meet as they did after 9/11.

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The FOMC achieves its fiscal objectives partially by setting the target for the federal funds rate which is currently at 5.25%. This rate is that which banks lend their deposits to other banks overnight. They do this to help other banks keep within the reserve requirements set by the Fed. The highest federal funds rate in the last 16 years was 8.0% back in 1990. It was at it's lowest just recently when it bottomed out at 1%. The Fed also provides information on the economy by publishing a report called the "Beige Book". This report is published eight times per year as well and is based upon anecdotal evidence gathered by each Federal Reserve Bank.

How Does The Federal Reserve Affect Interest Rates?

Here is how the Fed and Mr. Bernanke affect interest rates. They affect rates by lowering or raising the Federal Funds rate. There is a direct affect on short term interest rates like the prime rate and any kind of T-Bill rates of less than 5 years. Almost every bank mirrors the Fed with the prime rate they publish. In other words, as the Fed moves the Fed Funds Rate, banks move the prime rate. The prime rate right now is 3% higher than the Fed Funds Rate. So if the Fed raises the Fed Funds rate from its current level of 5.25% to 6.0%, then the prime rate would move from 8.25% to 9.0%. Most 2nd mortgages are based upon the prime rate, so as it moves so does the cost of credit to homeowners. Also, your credit cards are usually following the Fed when they move rates. You will find the least expensive credit cards when the Fed Fund rates are at their lowest.

The affect on long term rates are not as direct. If the markets perceive that the Fed is not being diligent against inflation then long term rates may rise. This is interpreted by the markets when the Fed Funds rate is lowered therefore attempting to stimulate the economy which could lead to inflation. This is the major reason that you may have noticed that 30 year mortgage rates have not increased dramatically over the last 2 years even though the Fed has raised rates 17 times. Long term rates will generally move the opposite way the Fed moves rates or at least move less dramatically, which is what we have seen over the last 2 years.

In a recent report released, it was stated that a weakening U.S. economy is setting the stage for lower interest rates. This was according to a UCLA Anderson Forecast. The forecast predicts real gross domestic product will rise no more than 2.7 percent next year, reflecting the weak housing market. As a result, the prediction is that the Federal Reserve Board will cut interest rates to stimulate business, says Edward Leamer, director of the UCLA Anderson Forecast. Leamer says he sees the Federal Funds rate falling to 4.5 percent by the fourth quarter of next year. Leamer also thinks housing starts will bottom out at an annual rate of 1.4 million in the second quarter of next year. As builders seek to sell inventory, new-home prices will fall to a low in the third quarter of 2007, down 10 percent from current levels, he says.

So if you believe what this report says you would think that now is the time to refinance and pull out the equity in your home because the value of your home is falling and you could loose your equity. The refinance would allow you to utilize your equity to do other things like home improvement or debt consolidation or even investment. Now if you are in the market for a new home, you may want to wait until September of this year to purchase so that you don't over pay for that home.

The dilemma all of us face is that for every opinion there is a counter opinion. The only way to really know what direction you should go is to ask a local expert in mortgage lending or real estate. Take the information they give you and make the best decision for yourself. Rates will rise and fall whether or not you buy or refinance. The only time you really care about Mr. Bernanke or what is going on in the market is when you are looking to purchase or refinance. So, although he may be the most powerful man in the world, you probably don't even care. The moral of the story is to find yourself local experts in whatever field you need information and not worry about the stuff or the people you can't control.

How Does The Federal Reserve Affect Interest Rates?

Ed Jeffry and Luke Currier are experts in mortgage lending based in Walnut Creek, California. They specialize in helping homeowners who have had a bankruptcy or other credit challenge find payment relief, achieve financial security, restore their credit and receive peace of mind. They are also founding members of the National Association of Responsible Mortgage Lenders ([http://www.narlo.com]). Visit their website at http://www.BayAreaLoanAdvisor.com for more information or call them direct at 925-627-2649.

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Tuesday, March 27, 2012

ED Treatment- 5 Secrets to Naturally Cure Erectile Dysfunctions

Are in interested in an ED Treatment that can naturally cure erectile dysfunctions and add 10-15 years to your life?

You might want to consider (eventually) throwing your traditional erectile dysfunction medication away and consider naturally treating your problem with simple and effective remedies that speed up blood circulation and eliminate plaque from your arteries. And the best thing about this natural treatment is you will most likely live a healthier life and add 15 years to your life.

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The Problem with the Colorful Pills

ED Treatment- 5 Secrets to Naturally Cure Erectile Dysfunctions

First a quick listing of a typical erectile dysfunction pill side-effects: dizziness, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, permanent blindness, and permanent deafness (both caused by strokes from the ED synthetic medication).

Secondly, there might be even a greater side-effect that prescription companies are not telling you... death! If you think of your body as a car, some of you might treat your body like a rare, restored, late 60s muscle car. And most of us might treat our bodies like a rusted early 90s domestic, 4-cylinder. We just don't give a rip about the car (our body).

Fortunately, everybody's body has a dashboard to tell you if something might be going wrong inside. And if you are suffering from an erectile dysfunction, you might want to considering fixing the problem and not hiding the problem. And without hesitation, all ED pills do is hide the problem and give people of false hope that they cure their impotence problem.

Fact: Did you know that thousands of men die each year during the deed (under the influence of ED medication) because of a heart attack or stroke. Simply put, many men try to put their 4-cylinders 'to the floor' like they are driving a 69 Dodge Charger. The engine blows (your heart) and life is cut short.

But there is a natural ED Treatment that will make you feel like a 20 year old, help you lose weight and give you optimal health!

5 Secrets to Naturally Cure Erectile Dysfunctions

It took you years to develop and ED problem and it could take you months to cure the problem. Here are 5 secrets our natural heath medical doctor recommends to our natural health customers.

1. Diet is Your Fuel and Friend! - Begin to think of your diet as simply fuel to get through your day. Don't think of it as a party for the palate. You should know how to read a food label and eliminate: fattening foods, high sugar foods and sweets. You should decrease your fat intake to less than 60 g per day and lower your cholesterol. This tip alone will allow you to notice a change in weeks.

2. Are you taking your vitamins? - "Vitamin A deficiency has been the cause of impotence in some men," states Elson Haas, M.D., of author of Staying Healthy with Nutrition. You might also want to consider a quality multi-vitamin with a balanced essential vitamin base.

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4. Flush Your Plaque! - There are numerous products stating that it will flush impurities, toxins, plaque or anything bad for your body. Fortunately, God thought of a better way! You can naturally flush your body with a simple water and water-soluble fiber (fruits and vegetable) body flush. To learn how you can decrease your plaque levels in days and naturally treat ED please visit our site today.

5. One Herb that Helps! - There are 5 herbs that are researched and recommended to help cure erectile dysfunctions. One is herb to try is ginkgo. Herbalist expert James Green states, "Supplements of herb ginkgo can improve blood flow to the genital arteries and veins, which may help reverse impotence."

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Monday, March 26, 2012

The Pros And Cons Of Tankless Water Heaters

Are you interested in purchasing a tankless water heater? If so, then you want to make an informed decision based on both the positive and negative information regarding them. A tankless water heater is going to cost you more money than a conventional water heater. Are you willing to make the investment for the added benefits?

The obvious reasons for getting one is that it will save you money as it uses less energy. Some models can cut your water bill by up to 50%. Keep in mind that it is going to take some time to reap those savings because a tankless water heater costs anywhere from three to ten times what a conventional water heater costs. You will find them between 0 and ,000. However, some tankless water heaters qualify for a Federal tax deduction of up to 0. You can discuss eligibility for this credit with your tax preparer. Keep this tax credit in mind if you are in the market for purchasing a tankless water heater as this can really reduce the overall cost of the purchase.

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The other obvious pro is that tankless water heaters offer an endless supply of hot water. This is great if you have a large family with plenty of showers taking place. I know nothing gets my day off to a bad start than not having enough hot water to enjoy my shower. The water won't start getting warm until you turn on the faucet. While it does heat up rapidly, water is often wasted while you wait for it to heat up. However, keep in mind that a tankless water heater can only produce a set amount of hot water at one time. For those of you who like to multi-task, you will find it difficult to have the shower, washer, and dishwasher all operating at one time.

The Pros And Cons Of Tankless Water Heaters

A tankless water heater doesn't take up much room, so storage room isn't a big concern. Many people find attaching their tankless water heater to the wall is an excellent way to maximize the space they do have available. Since there is no tank to worry about, you also won't have to deal with coming home and finding that your conventional water heater tank has sprung a leak.

The decision to install a tankless water heater is a personal choice. While it is an expensive investment, it is certainly one that will pay for itself over time. You will also have the convenience of always having plenty of hot water. The downside is you won't have the supply to operate several water demanding appliances at once. Some people already find that to be true with their conventional water heater, so it won't be considered a negative feature.

The Pros And Cons Of Tankless Water Heaters

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Saturday, March 24, 2012

Transmission - Automatic to Manual Conversion

When I purchased my EG4 Civic hatchback in 1998, I loved everything about it, the body interior and engine were all in excellent condition. However, there was one thing that I would not have chosen: the automatic transmission. The original engine was a JDM D15B SOHC VTEC, rated at a respectable 130 p.s. especially for a 1500 cc!

So I started my research on the net to find out my options with respect to getting the car converted to manual transmission. In my search, I discovered Eric's B16A site and the Hybrid site among others. So I began to think, why go through the trouble of changing the transmission on the 1500, might as well go for it an put in a DOHC 1600cc VTEC and gain 40 hp in the process! I considered a B18C but those engines are rare and expensive in Trinidad. In any case the JDM second generation B16A puts out the same horsepower, with a bit less torque. From what I had learned on the Internet I knew the engine would fit fine. Also because my car originally came with a VTEC engine, I knew that the wiring would not be very difficult.

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I read as much as I could find on swaps, and tried to plan the operation to the best of my ability. Let me point out, that there is no substitute for good information, so if you are planning any sort of hybrid, read as much as you can BEFORE you start; web sites, FAQs, articles, magazines, whatever. I chose to have a local shop with considerable Honda experience do the work and I was able to locate the engine from a local importer.

Transmission - Automatic to Manual Conversion

MY MISTAKE
I knew that it would be best to purchase the engine and accessories as a package, and that's just what I did. But I focussed on the big items, Engine, Y21 LSD trany, ECU, Complete engine wire harness, axles, and in so doing, I did not even realize that the engine did not have the mounts! (No AC unit either!) Now although In my country we have quite a brisk trake in JDM parts, some things are almost impossible to get, like mounts!

The solution? Alter the original D15B mounts to fit. That mistake made a project that would have taken a little less than two weeks, last five weeks. You could imagine how my wife loved me for this!

STARTING UP
The mounts took a really long time to complete, plus as you would expect, my car wasn't the only one in the shop! Anyway, it turns out that the rear (center) engine mount could be used on the B16A. I was able to get a front transmission mount, leaving three mounts to be custom adjusted. By the way the lower front engine mount / ac bracket on the B series motor is totally different to the D series mounts so I fabricated an adapter flange to accept my old AC unit. (No way did I have intentions of buying an AC).

After the mounts were adjusted and the engine was in the proper place, the axle hardware was mounted in a jiffy, and necessary fluids and hoses were connected. All the electricals plugged right in, including the new computer. The only difference was the D series motor had the MAP sensor fixed on the Throttle Body, so a remote unit was added for the new engine. The engine fired up, no problems. By the way, you guys should hear what the beast sounds like with only the tri-y headers! Since the headers were longer than the original, I had to adjust the length of the exhaust pipe so that it could bolt to the headers

DETAILS

Electrical
Now the Automatic Specific facts. Remove the Automatic Gear Lever and toss it! There is a plastic slider underneath which is connected to the car's harness. This slider should be set to the PARK position and locked there by some means. The guys at the shop put a big blob of silicone sealant over mine. This is necessary if you plan to take your key out of the ignition after you drive!! Also on the plastic slider, there are two wires soldered near the center of the device (yel, blk/grn). When these wires are shorted they activate the reverse lights and chime. (At least my car has a reverse chime). My advice is to find the reverse sensor on the transmission, trace them to the connection junction on the right side of the engine bay, then run a pair of wires from the reverse sensor leads to the plastic slider. Voila! Your reverse lights will work fine.

I had to add a knock sensor wire and an O2 sensor wire as detailed on the Hybrid Site. However, I still got a code 23 after driving the car for a few minutes. Then it occurred to me, that the computer still thought the car was automatic. Now, I really tried to find the Transmission Control Module but for the life of me I couldn't. Maybe you have to remove the dash of something extreme. Anyway, with the help of a B16A2 wiring diagram from my friend Christian in Austria, I was able to identify the ECU leads that were no longer needed. Just cut the leads and tape'em up! The first four are the TCM leads; the other two go to AT sensors for which I don't have the German translation:-)

ECU leads
B3-grn/blu

B4-grn/blk

B7-grn

B13-grn/orn

B17-grn/blk

B19-yel

Mechanical
Of course when you remove the automatic gear shifter, there will be a gaping hole under there. I found that my car did not have any mounting holes for the shift linkage. This is good in a way, as you get to choose where the shifter will lie. I used a CRX shifter in my application and just bolted it on through the sheet metal in the floor arch. Depending on the linkage you use, and the plastic moldings that you choose to put over the shifter, some adjustment of the linkage length may be necessary.

You will see a picture of the pedal box from a CRX on the left. If you are really observant you will notice that this pedal box is made for a cable clutch system. The verdict: scrap the idea of changing the pedal box. The guys cut off the clutch pedal, and welded on a hinge so it could be used to actuate the plunger on the clutch master cylinder. We used a soft line to connect the slave cylinder (on the trany) to the hard line, which connects to the clutch master cylinder. Very simple. In the interior picture you can see the large (AT) brake pedal next to the clutch.

THE RESULT
The car works beautifully and is a joy to drive. Every feature and sensor is operational. Since I kept the original AT housing around the shifter I did not loose one of my favorite features of the car; the fold in cup holder! The shifter boot is custom made from Italian leather. I also got the white faced gauges with the deal!

I would really advise against swapping in the other direction though since all the car's wiring behind the firewall would have to be changed in order to get a fully functional (all features working) automatic.

Transmission - Automatic to Manual Conversion

Read More at: trinituner.com

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